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🌅 RETIREMENT SYSTEM

The retirement cash buffer: how it works, step by step

How much cash to hold, where to keep it, when to refill it, what it costs, and why we only buy satellites in an uptrend.

· 6 November 2026· 9 min read
THE SHORT ANSWER

A cash buffer is one and a half to three years of the income your portfolio pays you, held in cash. You pay yourself from it every month, so a market fall never forces you to sell shares at low prices. Refill it after good years, leave it alone after bad ones. It costs a little growth in steady markets, which is why we keep it to two or three years: think of it as insurance for your income. Your satellites have their own protection: we only buy them in an uptrend.

1.5–3 yrsof portfolio income, held in cash
$159,971of shares sold after a fall, with no buffer
$0sold with a 2-year buffer
3 rulespay, refill after good years, wait

The biggest risk in retirement isn’t a market fall. It’s being forced to sell after one, because you need the money to live on. A cash buffer separates your income from the share market, so your portfolio can recover on its own time. Here’s how ours works, step by step, with the parts of my videos where I explain it.

1. What a cash buffer is

Our retirement portfolios have three parts: a cash buffer that pays your pension, a core ETF for long-term growth, and satellites for parts of the market the core holds little of. The buffer is the part you spend. The core and satellites are the parts you leave invested.

Without a buffer, every pension payment comes from selling shares. In a normal year that’s fine. After a 25% fall, it means selling more units at low prices, and those units aren’t there when the market recovers. That’s sequence of returns risk, and it matters most in your first five years of retirement, when your balance is highest.

🎥 Watch me explain this

2. How much to hold

Buffer = years × the income your portfolio pays you. Take the income you need, subtract the Age Pension and any other income, and multiply by 1.5 to 3.

INCOME FROM YOUR PORTFOLIO1.5 YEARS2 YEARS3 YEARS
$30,000 a year$45,000$60,000$90,000
$50,000 a year$75,000$100,000$150,000
$65,916 a year$98,874$131,832$197,748
$78,998 a year$118,497$157,996$236,994
$100,000 a year$150,000$200,000$300,000
Income from your portfolio = the income you need minus the Age Pension and any other income. $78,998 is ASFA’s comfortable budget for a homeowner couple; $65,916 is what a $1 million couple needs from super at 67, once a part Age Pension starts.
  • 1.5 years if you have a part Age Pension or other income covering much of your spending.
  • 2 years for most retirees: it covers a typical fall and recovery.
  • 3 years if your portfolio pays most of your income, or you want to wait out a longer fall.

The amount changes as you go. At 67, once a part Age Pension starts, the $1 million couple needs about $66,000 a year from super instead of $79,000, so a 2-year buffer drops from about $158,000 to $132,000.

3. Where to keep it

WHEREHOW IT WORKSGOOD FORWATCH OUT FOR
High-interest savings accountBank account with a bonus rateSimple, no brokerage, government guarantee up to $250,000 per bankBonus conditions; rates change
Cash ETF such as AAAHolds bank deposits, trades on the ASXSits in your brokerage or SMSF account, pays monthly; 0.18% feeBrokerage on each trade, no government guarantee
Term deposits, ladderedSplit across 3, 6, 12 and 24 monthsLocks in a rate; one matures when you need itBreak fees if you need it early
General information, not a recommendation. Check current rates and the PDS before choosing.

Many retirees use a mix: a few months in an everyday account for the monthly pension, and the rest in a high-interest account, a cash ETF or a short term-deposit ladder.

🎥 Watch me explain this

4. The three rules

  1. Pay yourself from cash. Your monthly pension always comes from the buffer, never directly from selling shares.
  2. Refill after good years. When the core has had a positive year, top the buffer back up to its target by selling a little of your investments. You’re selling high.
  3. Leave it alone after bad years. When markets have fallen, don’t refill. Keep spending the buffer and let the core recover.

Here’s what that looks like for the $1 million couple if markets fall 25% in their first year:

YEARMARKETSINCOME PAID FROM CASHSHARES SOLDBUFFER REFILLEDBUFFER AT YEAR END
1Fall 25%$78,998$0no: bad year$82,158
2Recovery +16%$80,973$0$101,333$102,565
3Recovery +12%$51,283$0$53,373$106,707
4Normal +7%$53,353$0$50,160$105,648
5Normal +7%$52,824$0$49,680$104,616
6Normal +7%$52,308$0$49,212$103,613
Homeowner couple, 65, $1 million, income $78,998 a year rising 2.5% a year, 2-year buffer, 80/20 core and satellites, Age Pension estimated from year 3. Cash earns 4%, core 7%, satellites 8% in normal years; in the fall the core drops 25% and satellites 35%, then recover. Illustration only.

The couple doesn’t sell a single share in the fall. Their income keeps coming from cash, and the buffer is refilled only once markets have recovered. Try it with your own numbers:

🧮Visualise your retirement portfolioEnter your super and the income you need: see your cash buffer, core and satellites, and whether your money lasts.

See how a cash buffer pays your pension, and whether your money lasts, in good years and bad.

Your cash buffer–
Invested in core / satellites–
Does your money last?–
YOUR PORTFOLIO, PICTURED
Cash bufferCoreSatellitesIncome paid each year

Illustration only, general information. Assumes cash earns 4%, the core 7% and satellites 8% a year after fees in normal years, and income rises with inflation at 2.5% a year. “A crash in year 1” assumes the core falls 25% and satellites 35%, then recover over two years; “Two bad years” assumes two falls in a row. Each year your income is paid from the cash buffer; after a good year the buffer is topped back up from your investments, after a bad year it isn’t, so you never sell shares after a fall unless the buffer runs out. Ignores tax and super pension minimums. Age Pension is estimated each year from your balance under the assets and income tests (homeowner rates from 20 September 2026, $50,000 of other assets, limits rising 2.5% a year); your actual entitlement depends on Centrelink. Real returns will be different.

5. Is it worth it? The honest numbers

NO BUFFER2-YEAR BUFFER3-YEAR BUFFER
Shares sold in years 1–2 after a 25% fall$159,971$0$0
Balance after year 1 (25% fall)$672,331$696,821$721,310
Balance after year 5 (25% fall)$715,304$736,472$746,841
Balance after year 5 (two bad years)$639,977$655,063$678,384
Balance after year 30 (steady markets)$862,841$789,026$712,969
Same couple and assumptions as above, in dollars of the day. “Two bad years”: the core falls 20% then 12%, then recovers.

Two things stand out. First, after a fall, the buffer stops you selling $159,971 of shares at low prices, and it leaves you ahead in the years that follow: about $736,472 after five years, against $715,304 with no buffer. Second, in steady markets the buffer costs some growth ($789,026 after 30 years against $862,841), because cash earns less than shares.

That’s the trade: a buffer is insurance for your income. You pay a small premium in good years for certainty in bad ones, and the confidence to stay invested when markets fall is often worth more than the numbers show. It’s also why we keep the buffer to two or three years, not five.

🎥 Watch me explain this

6. And the satellites? Only in an uptrend

The buffer protects your income. Our trend rule protects your satellites: we only buy them as they break from a base into an uptrend, and they wait in cash when nothing is trending. The core stays invested through every stage. Why we do it, with our diagrams and videos, is on the ETF trend scanner.

7. Mistakes to avoid

  • Refilling after a fall. That’s selling low, the exact thing the buffer is there to avoid.
  • Too big a buffer. Five years or more in cash is a big drag on growth over a 25-year retirement.
  • Spending it on one-offs. Keep a separate amount for a new car or travel, so the buffer stays intact.
  • Leaving it in a low-rate account. On $150,000, the difference between 1% and 4.5% is about $5,000 a year.
  • Forgetting the Age Pension. It reduces what your portfolio needs to pay, and so how big the buffer needs to be.
  • Going all-in on shares after a strong run. Keep refilling to target; don’t spend the buffer on the market.
See your buffer, core and satellites in a PDF plan

Our free retirement plan works out your buffer, tests a market fall and shows your Age Pension, year by year.

Get my free retirement plan →

Next: how to pay yourself from ETFs in retirement. More on the full approach in the Retirement & SMSF hub, ETFs for retirement and the how to retire with $1 million example.

General information only, not personal advice. It doesn’t consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. Examples are illustrations using the assumptions shown, not predictions. ETFs named are examples, not recommendations; consider the PDS and TMD. Trend data from our ETF trend scanner as at 28 October 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Frequently asked questions

How big should a retirement cash buffer be?

Usually one and a half to three years of the income your portfolio pays you: the income you need minus the Age Pension and other income. Two years suits most retirees.

When should I refill my cash buffer?

After a good year for markets, top it back up to its target by selling a little of your investments. After a bad year, leave it alone and keep spending the buffer.

Does a cash buffer reduce returns?

A little, in steady markets, because cash usually earns less than shares. In exchange it means you don’t have to sell shares after a fall, which protects your balance in the years after a crash and makes it easier to stay invested.

Where should I keep my cash buffer?

Common choices are a high-interest savings account, a cash ETF such as AAA, or a ladder of short term deposits. Many retirees keep a few months in an everyday account and the rest earning interest.

Why only buy satellite ETFs in an uptrend?

Downtrends are where most big losses happen, and losses need bigger gains to recover. Buying satellites only as they break from a base into an uptrend, and holding cash otherwise, keeps those losses small.

Your plan is set. Now keep in touch with the markets.

Building your portfolio is one thing. Knowing what the markets are doing is another. Every week we check market health and the trend of every ASX ETF, show what we’re doing in our Income and Model Portfolios, and answer your questions live every Thursday. Free for 30 days.

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